ERA21LA122
2021-02-02 · Leicester, Massachusetts, United States · Serious · 1 aircraft · Status: Completed
Airport ORH
Current FAA registration · N221ST
- Make / Model
- PIPER PA 46-350P
- Year of manufacture
- 2014 · 7 years old at event
- Engine
- LYCOMING TIO-540-AE2A (350 hp)
- Seats / Engines
- 6 seats · 1 engine
- Last airworthiness date
- 20141210
- ADS-B equipped
- Yes — Mode-S A1E65A
Source: FAA Aircraft Registry (releasable master file).
Aircraft involved
Probable cause & findings
The pilot’s failure to maintain the minimum airspeed for flight in icing conditions, which resulted in a loss of elevator control during approach due to ice accumulation.
Factual narrative
On February 2, 2021, about 1655 eastern standard time, a Piper PA-46-350P, N221ST, was substantially damaged when it was involved in an accident near Leicester, Massachusetts. The commercial pilot sustained minor injuries and the two passengers were seriously injured. The airplane was operated as a Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 personal flight. The pilot stated that he received weather briefings via flight service and ForeFlight. The flight service specialist advised the pilot that there would be some icing in clouds, with cloud tops near 6,000 ft mean sea level msl (msl). Additionally, an AIRMET was in effect for moderate icing from the freezing level up to 18,000 ft msl. The pilot further stated that his previous flight that day, from Worcester, Massachusetts, to Martha’s Vineyard, Massachusetts, was uneventful. He added that the actual conditions were better than forecast with no ice observed during that flight and the accident flight, until descent for the RNAV (GPS) RWY11 approach to Worcester. Light freezing rain was reported in the area of the accident site around the time of the accident, and the forecast icing potential indicated a 60% probability of supercooled liquid droplets (SLD) over the accident site, at the time of the accident, at 4,000 ft msl. The current icing potential indicated a 90% to 100% probability of SLD at 1,000 to 4,000 ft msl at the accident site, at 1700. The pilot reported that, while descending through clouds and beginning the approach, a little ice built up on the wings and he actuated the deice boots twice. The pilot observed the deice boots functioning normally on the wings and could not see the tail. He reported that the elevator “began to shake and became ineffective” and that he “felt like the airplane was approaching a stall.” The pilot applied forward pressure on the yoke and had to trim elevator nose down to get the airplane to descend and avoid a stall, and he reported that any effort to pull back on the yoke exacerbated the situation. He further stated that no caution annunciators illuminated, and that he had disengaged the autopilot before descent. The airplane descended through the clouds and the pilot flew toward trees to avoid a house. The airplane subsequently contacted a tree and came to rest upright in the front yard of a residence about 3 miles from the runway threshold. Examination of the wreckage did not reveal evidence of any preimpact mechanical malfunctions. Flight control continuity was confirmed from the cockpit to all control surfaces. The flap lever was observed at the 10° flap extension position. Examination of the flap jackscrew revealed about five exposed threads, which corresponded to a flap position between 0° and 10°. Component testing of the deice system did not reveal any anomalies. Review of air traffic control audio and radar data revealed that the pilot contacted the tower controller at 1653 and reported a position of 1 mile from the RILOC intersection (about 6.5-mile final approach). The controller acknowledged the report and cleared the pilot to land. From that time until the flight upset about 2 minutes later, the airplane’s groundspeed averaged about 82 knots, or an airspeed of 94 knots based on a winds aloft forecast of 060° at 17 knots, at 3,000 ft msl. Review of a pilot operating handbook (POH) for the airplane make and model revealed a minimum speed for flight in icing conditions as 130 knots indicated airspeed. The POH further stated, “The ice protection system was not designed or tested for flight in freezing rain, freezing drizzle or supercooled liquid water and ice crystals, or conditions defined as severe. Flight in these conditions is prohibited and must be avoided.” The pilot reported that, while descending through clouds and beginning the instrument approach, some ice accumulated on the wings and he actuated the deice boots twice. The pilot saw the deice boots functioning normally on the wings and could not see the tail; however, the elevator began to shake, and he lost elevator control. The pilot applied forward pressure on the yoke and had to trim nose-down to avoid a stall. There were no cockpit caution indications and the pilot had disengaged the autopilot before descent. The airplane descended through the clouds and impacted a tree before coming to rest upright in a grass area. Postaccident examination of the wreckage, including component testing of the deice system, did not reveal any preimpact mechanical malfunctions. The flap jackscrew position suggested that the flaps were likely in transit between 0° and 10° flap extension at the time of impact. Review of radar data revealed that, during the 2 minutes before the accident, the airplane’s groundspeed averaged about 82 knots; or an approximate average airspeed of 94 knots when accounting for the winds aloft. Current weather observations and forecast weather products indicated that the airplane was likely operating in an area where moderate and potentially greater structural icing conditions prevailed, and where there was the potential for the presence of supercooled liquid droplets. Review of the pilot operating handbook for the airplane revealed that the minimum speed for flight in icing conditions was 130 knots indicated airspeed. It is likely that the pilot’s failure to maintain an appropriate speed for flight in icing conditions resulted in insufficient airflow over the ice contaminated elevator and the subsequent loss of elevator control. Source: NTSB Aviation Accident Database Retrieved: 2026-02-12
NTSB Findings
FAA avdata. C = Cause, F = Factor.
- — Environmental issues-Conditions/weather/phenomena-Temp/humidity/pressure-Conducive to structural icing-Compliance w/ procedure
- — Aircraft-Aircraft oper/perf/capability-Performance/control parameters-Airspeed-Not attained/maintained
- — Personnel issues-Psychological-Attention/monitoring-Task monitoring/vigilance-Pilot
Verbatim from NTSB's published report. Source file
NTSB_2021_ERA21LA122.txt.
Findings + structured fields enriched from FAA avall.mdb.
Full investigation docket on
data.ntsb.gov ↗.
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Related research
Matched on aircraft type or causal vocabulary (icing, stall, autopilot). All research papers
- arXiv 2023 · arXiv preprint Variation of Critical Crystallization Pressure for the Formation of Square Ice in Graphene Nanocapillaries
Two-dimensional square ice in graphene nanocapillaries at room temperature is a fascinating phenomenon and has been confirmed experimentally.
- arXiv 2022 · arXiv preprint Enhanced Prediction of Three-dimensional Finite Iced Wing Separated Flow Near Stall
Icing on three-dimensional wings causes severe flow separation near stall. Standard improved delayed detached eddy simulation (IDDES) is unable to correctly predict the separating reattaching flow due…
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Contractor Report (CR) An Evaluation of an Analytical Simulation of an Airplane with Tailplane Icing by Comparison to Flight Data
This report presents the assessment of an analytical tool developed as part of the NASA/FAA Tailplane Icing Program. The analytical tool is a specialized simulation program called TAILSM4 which was de…
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Technical Publication (TP) NASA/FAA Tailplane Icing Program: Flight Test Report
This report presents results from research flights that explored the characteristics of an ice-contaminated tailplane using various simulated ice shapes attached to the leading edge of the horizontal …
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Other [Tail Plane Icing]
The Aviation Safety Program initiated by NASA in 1997 has put greater emphasis in safety related research activities. Ice-contaminated-tailplane stall (ICTS) has been identified by the NASA Lewis Icin…
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2019 · Journal article (IJAAA) Airport Policing in Pakistan: Structure, Training, and Issue
Airports are strategically and economically important installations of any country. Airports are the gateway of any country and any incidents at these gateways may harm the very aspects of a country i…