NTSB CAROL · Event
Event SEA99LA140
Aircraft involved
Probable cause & findings
The pilot's failure to adequately compensate for the changing wind conditions. Factors include a berm located off the east end of the runway and a tailwind.
Factual narrative
On July 31, 1999, approximately 1600 Pacific daylight time, the nose gear of a Cessna T210J, N821SB, collapsed during the landing roll at Rake's Glen Airpark, Sequim, Washington. The aircraft, which was registered to a private individual and operated by the pilot as a 14 CFR Part 91 personal/pleasure flight, sustained substantial damage. Visual meteorological conditions prevailed, and no flight plan was filed. The commercial pilot, and her two passengers were not injured. The flight originated from William R. Fairchild International Airport, Port Townsend, Washington, about 20 minutes before the accident. There was no report of an ELT activation. The pilot stated that she overflew the 1,600 foot asphalt runway to determine the wind direction before landing. After determining a crosswind would be present for either runway, she chose to land to the east. As the aircraft touched down, the pilot realized "...that the wind had changed directions and was now from the west." With the westerly wind, the pilot was landing with a tailwind that she estimated at 10 knots gusting to 20 knots. Although she was aware that she may not get the aircraft stopped prior to reaching the end of the runway, she elected not to attempt a go-around because of the possibility of impacting obstructions just off the departure end. The pilot was unable to stop the aircraft before it departed the end of the runway and collided with a berm, resulting in the collapse of the nose gear and substantial damage to the airframe. The pilot overflew the 1,600 foot asphalt runway to determine the wind direction before landing. After determining a crosswind would be present for either runway, the pilot chose to land to the east. As the aircraft touched down, the pilot realized '...that the wind had changed directions and was now from the west.' With the westerly wind, the pilot was landing with a tailwind that she estimated at 10 knots gusting to 20 knots. Although she was aware that she may not get the aircraft stopped prior to reaching the end of the runway, she elected not to attempt a go-around because of the possibility of impacting obstructions just off the departure end. The pilot was unable to stop the aircraft before it departed the end of the runway and collided with a berm. Source: NTSB Aviation Accident Database (Pre-2008 Archive) Retrieved: 2026-02-12
Verbatim from NTSB's published report. Source file
NTSB_1999_SEA99LA140.txt.
Findings + structured fields enriched from FAA avall.mdb.
Full investigation docket on
data.ntsb.gov ↗.
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Related research
What the literature says.
Academic papers and agency reports matching this event's aircraft type or causal vocabulary (go-around). Sourced from NASA NTRS, NTSB Safety Studies, FAA CAMI, AOPA Air Safety Institute, Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons, arXiv, and the Semantic Scholar academic graph.
- NASA NTRS 2025 · Conference Paper
A Training Study to Improve Monitoring During A Go-Around
As part of an FAA program to improve go-around (GA) safety, we were asked to determine if we could improve the performance of the Pilot Monitoring (PM) during a GA maneuver.
- Flight Safety Foundation 2024 · FSF / AeroSafety World
Go-Around Safety Forum Findings
Foundation Go-Around Safety Forum technical findings — examines why pilots fail to execute go-arounds when criteria are met (stabilized approach gate not met, energy state out of envelope, traffic con…
- Semantic Scholar 2022 · Article (Journal of Safety Research)
Go-around accidents and general aviation safety.
INTRODUCTION Changes in General Aviation (GA) accident rates, specifically in the go-around phase, are examined by comparing the number of accidents, the proportion of fatal accidents, and the proport…
- Semantic Scholar 2021 · Article (Aerospace)
Classification and Analysis of Go-Arounds in Commercial Aviation Using ADS-B Data
Go-arounds are a necessary aspect of commercial aviation and are conducted after a landing attempt has been aborted. It is necessary to conduct go-arounds in the safest possible manner, as go-arounds …
- NASA NTRS 2021 · Accepted Manuscript (Version with final changes)
Go-Around Criteria Refinement for Transport Category Aircraft
Presently, airline pilots are trained to go around if, when lower than 500 ft above the ground, they are outside of a handful of parameters such as airspeed, position, and rate of descent.
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Conference Paper
Validation of Proposed Go-Around Criteria Under Various Environmental Conditions
This paper evaluates the effects of environmental conditions on touchdown performance under varying approach states and validates proposed go-around criteria developed using data from a previously con…
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