NTSB CAROL · Event
Event WPR12CA086
Aircraft involved
Probable cause & findings
The pilot's inadequate compensation for a wind gust during landing, which resulted in a runway excursion. Contributing to the accident was a windsock partially sheltered by trees that provided inaccurate wind information.
Factual narrative
The private pilot departed his home airport in his tailwheel equipped high-wing airplane. The destination airport was equipped with a single paved runway that measured 4,300 feet by 60 feet. According to the pilot and a ground witness, the runway was plowed full width, but there was about 1/2-inch of snow on the runway, and about 18 inches of snow on the terrain adjacent to the runway. Also, according to the pilot and the witness, the landing approach to runway 30 was normal, and the airplane touched down in a three-point attitude close to the threshold, and on the runway centerline. The airplane became airborne again, drifted to the right, and touched down off the runway, in the deeper snow. The pilot added power to recover, but the airplane main wheels sank into the snow, and the airplane nosed over onto its back. The pilot was uninjured, but the airplane sustained damage to the horizontal and vertical stabilizers, and to one wing. The pilot noted that no mechanical malfunction or failure contributed to the accident. The pilot stated that the airplane was upset by a wind gust, and that if he had been aware of any gusts prior to landing, he would have conducted a wheel landing instead of a three-point landing. The Federal Aviation Administration Airplane Flying Handbook (FAA-H-8083-3) recommended the use of wheel landings in "turbulence or in crosswinds." The only airport windsock was located about midfield, on the southwest side of the runway. Based on their windsock observations, the pilot and ground witness estimated that the wind at the time was about 6 to 8 knots, out of the south or southwest. Witnesses familiar with the airport reported that the windsock generally provided reliable indications of the wind conditions, but trees partially sheltered the windsock from south/southwest winds, and therefore those winds were not always accurately indicated by the windsock. According to the pilot and a witness, the landing approach was normal, and the airplane touched down in a three-point attitude close to the runway threshold and on the runway centerline. The airplane encountered a wind gust, became airborne again, drifted to the right, and touched down off the runway in an area covered with about 18 inches of snow. The pilot added power to recover, but the airplane’s main wheels sank into the snow, and the airplane nosed over onto its back, sustaining substantial damage to the horizontal and vertical stabilizers and to one wing. The pilot noted that no mechanical malfunction or failure contributed to the accident. The pilot stated that, if he had been aware of any wind gusts prior to landing, he would have conducted a wheel landing instead of a three-point landing. Witnesses familiar with the airport reported that trees partially sheltered the windsock from wind out of the south/southwest, which was the wind direction at the time of the accident, and, therefore, wind from this direction was not always accurately indicated by the windsock. Source: NTSB Aviation Accident Database Retrieved: 2026-02-12
NTSB Findings
Hierarchical cause / factor breakdown from the FAA bulk avdata database. Each finding tagged C (Cause) or F (Factor).
- C Aircraft-Aircraft oper/perf/capability-Performance/control parameters-Directional control-Not attained/maintained - C
- F Environmental issues-Operating environment-Meteorological services-Other weather service-Accuracy of related info - F
- C Personnel issues-Task performance-Use of equip/info-Aircraft control-Pilot - C
- — Environmental issues-Physical environment-Terrain-Snowy/icy-Contributed to outcome
- C Environmental issues-Conditions/weather/phenomena-Wind-Gusts-Contributed to outcome - C
Verbatim from NTSB's published report. Source file
NTSB_2012_WPR12CA086.txt.
Findings + structured fields enriched from FAA avall.mdb.
Full investigation docket on
data.ntsb.gov ↗.
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Related research
What the literature says.
Academic papers and agency reports matching this event's aircraft type or causal vocabulary (runway excursion, turbulence). Sourced from NASA NTRS, NTSB Safety Studies, FAA CAMI, AOPA Air Safety Institute, Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons, arXiv, and the Semantic Scholar academic graph.
- arXiv 2026 · arXiv preprint
Direct Numerical Simulations of Ice-Ocean Boundary Turbulence
Turbulent heat and freshwater transport at ice-ocean interfaces controls glacier and iceberg melt rates, yet the underlying physics remains poorly constrained.
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2025 · Journal article (JAAER)
Political Turbulence and Aviation Safety: A Cross-National Analysis of Political Stability's Effects on Aviation Accidents
To what extent does political stability affect aviation safety? This research aims to link domestic political conditions and public safety through the consideration of aviation accident frequency.
- NASA NTRS 2025 · Presentation
Uncovering Resilient Behavior in the Aviation Safety Reporting System Using Large Language Models
Resiliency is present in everyday life, both in system design and exhibited by the operators that function within these systems.
- NASA NTRS 2025 · Conference Paper
Uncovering Resilient Behavior in the Aviation Safety Reporting System Using Large Language Models
Resiliency is present in everyday life, both in system design and exhibited by the operators that function within these systems.
- arXiv 2025 · arXiv preprint
Explainable LiDAR 3D Point Cloud Segmentation and Clustering for Detecting Airplane-Generated Wind Turbulence
Wake vortices - strong, coherent air turbulences created by aircraft - pose a significant risk to aviation safety and therefore require accurate and reliable detection methods.
- arXiv 2024 · arXiv preprint
Does small-scale turbulence matter for ice growth in mixed-phase clouds?
Representing the glaciation of mixed-phase clouds in terms of the Wegener-Bergeron-Findeisen process is a challenge for many weather and climate models, which tend to overestimate this process because…
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