NTSB CAROL · Event
Event NYC98LA131
Aircraft involved
Probable cause & findings
the pilot's delay in initiating an abort after the wind shifted from a headwind to a tailwind during the takeoff roll. A factor was the sudden windshift.
Factual narrative
On June 21, 1998, about 1830 Eastern Daylight Time, a homebuilt Narrin-Whittman W-8 Tailwind, N2713C, was destroyed during a take-off roll from Flying M Aerodrome (PA88), Germansville, Pennsylvania. Neither the certificated private pilot nor his passenger were injured. Visual meteorological conditions prevailed at the time of the accident. No flight plan was filed for the personal flight conducted under 14 CFR 91. According to a Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Inspector, the pilot said the airplane never got off the ground. It ran off the end of the runway, hit grape vines and a tree, then cartwheeled. The pilot thought the wind shifted during the takeoff roll due to a nearby thunderstorm. A witness, who was also the airport owner, stated that there was a mountain about 3,000 feet north of the field, and that a dark cloud was moving along its ridgeline. He said the airplane was on its takeoff roll from Runway 08, with a headwind of about 5 knots. Approximately half-way through the airplane's takeoff roll, he saw the windsock shift, to 5 to 8 knots on the airplane's tail. At 650 to 800 feet from the departure end, the airport owner thought the airplane was not accelerating, and would abort the takeoff. Instead, the airplane continued its roll, eventually off the end of the runway. According to the airport owner, the pilot said he thought the airplane would fly, but ran out of runway. The airplane began a takeoff roll with a 5 knot headwind. Half-way down the runway, the wind shifted to a 5 to 8 knot tailwind. The airplane never became airborne, but rolled off the departure end the runway and impacted grape vines and a tree. Source: NTSB Aviation Accident Database (Pre-2008 Archive) Retrieved: 2026-02-12
Verbatim from NTSB's published report. Source file
NTSB_1998_NYC98LA131.txt.
Findings + structured fields enriched from FAA avall.mdb.
Full investigation docket on
data.ntsb.gov ↗.
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Related research
What the literature says.
Academic papers and agency reports matching this event's aircraft type or causal vocabulary (thunderstorm). Sourced from NASA NTRS, NTSB Safety Studies, FAA CAMI, AOPA Air Safety Institute, Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons, arXiv, and the Semantic Scholar academic graph.
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2024 · Journal article (IJAAA)
The Impact of Thunderstorms on Take-off Data in South Africa
Aviation and meteorology are entwined disciplines, as aviation occurs in the atmosphere. Prevailing weather conditions at take-off are of utmost importance to aviation.
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Technical Memorandum (TM)
Thunderstorm hazards flight research: Storm hazards 1980 overview
A highly instrumented NASA F-106B aircraft, modified for the storm hazards mission and protected against direct lightning strikes, was used in conjunction with various ground based radar and lightning…
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Conference Proceedings
Operational evaluation of thunderstorm penetration test flights during project Storm Hazards '80
The National Aeronautics and Space Administration is conducting a research project called Storm Hazards '80 in order to study the prediction, detectability and avoidance of the hazards of severe storm…
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Preprint (Draft being sent to journal)
Nowcasting Thunderstorm Anvil Clouds Over KSC/CCAFS
Electrified thunderstorm anvil clouds extend the threat of natural and triggered lightning to space launch and landing operations far beyond the immediate vicinity of thunderstorm cells.
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Contractor Report (CR)
An Examination of Aviation Accidents Associated with Turbulence, Wind Shear and Thunderstorm
The focal point of the study reported here was the definition and examination of turbulence, wind shear and thunderstorm in relation to aviation accidents.
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Reprint (Version printed in journal)
Observations of severe turbulence near thunderstorm tops
Data derived from the flight tapes of two airliners that experienced severe turbulence near thunderstorm tops are used to produce quantitative descriptions of the turbulence and its environment.
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