NTSB CAROL · Event
Event WPR15LA237
Aircraft involved
Probable cause & findings
The low flight time pilot's inadequate in-flight fuel planning, which resulted in fuel exhaustion, a loss of engine power, and an off-airport landing in rough terrain.
Factual narrative
On August 2, 2015, about 1910 mountain daylight time (MDT), a Piper PA 28-181, N7963C, made an off airport landing following a loss of engine power near American Falls, Idaho. Aspen Flying Club was operating the airplane under the provisions of 14 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) Part 91. The private pilot and two passengers were not injured. The airplane sustained substantial damage to the left wing during the accident sequence. The cross-country personal flight departed Lincoln (KLHM), California, at 1430 MDT (1330 Pacific daylight time) with a planned destination of Idaho Falls, Idaho. Visual meteorological conditions (VMC) prevailed, and no flight plan had been filed. During the multi-leg cross-country trip, the pilot reported that he had trouble starting the engine in Santa Monica, California. Maintenance personnel discovered fouled spark plugs, and cleaned them. On the day of the accident, the pilot departed San Francisco, California, and stopped for fuel in Lincoln. The pilot stated that with full tanks the airplane could fly 5-5.5 hours, and he intended the next fuel stop to be 4.5 hours later at Idaho Falls. He was receiving visual flight rules (VFR) flight following from the Salt Lake City Air Route Traffic Control Center (ZLC ARTCC). Four hours into the flight, the pilot determined that the groundspeed was less than planned. The left fuel tank indicated 5 gallons, and the right indicated more than 5 gallons, so the pilot estimated that there was enough fuel for 1 more hour of flight. The airplane was over the Burley, Idaho, airport, but he was unfamiliar with it. He decided to continue to Pocatello, Idaho, and figured that he would arrive there with enough fuel for an additional 30-45 minutes of flight. About 10 miles and 3-5 minutes from Pocatello, the right fuel tank indicated empty and the left tank 2-5 gallons with the indicator shaking. This was 4 hours 40 minutes into the flight, and then the engine stopped. A nearby road had power lines near it, so the pilot elected to land in a field. The main landing gear separated; the left wing sustained substantial damage, and the nose gear was crushed upwards. After the landing, the pilot noted that the left fuel gauge still indicated 5 gallons. A Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) inspector examined the wreckage at the recovery facility in Boise, Idaho, and a full report is in the public docket. Recovery personnel reported that the fuel tanks were not breached, and they drained no fuel from either wing tank, and a few ounces from the gascolator. The inspector obtained thumb compression on all cylinders. All spark plugs were grey except a slight oil film on the bottom plugs for cylinders two and four. There was no abnormal wear, fouling, or burn patterns on the spark plug electrodes. The gascolator screen and bowl showed no evidence of corrosion or contaminants. Upon removal of the hose and end clamp to the electric fuel pump, about 1 teaspoon of fuel flowed from the hose. About 2 ounces of clean, light blue fuel drained out of the carburetor fuel bowl drain plug when it was removed. The carburetor internal finger screen contained light contamination. He observed no anomalies that would have precluded normal operation of the engine. The 23-year-old pilot had 92 hours total flight experience with 50 hours as pilot-in-command and 26 hours in type. The pilot reported that, before departing for the cross-country flight, the fuel tanks were full and that the airplane could fly about 5 to 5.5 hours with full tanks. He planned to stop at an airport and refuel 4.5 hours after departure. However, 4 hours into the flight, the pilot determined that the groundspeed was less than planned and that the airplane would not make it to the intended fueling destination. At this time, the left fuel tank quantity gauge indicated that the tank had 5 gallons, and the right fuel tank gauge indicated that the tank had more than 5 gallons, which he estimated was sufficient fuel for 1 more hour of flight, so he decided to continue to an alternate airport even though he was currently over another airport. The pilot reported that, about 10 miles from the alternate airport, the right fuel tank gauge indicated that the tank was empty and that the left fuel tank gauge indicated that the tank had between 2 and 5 gallons. Shortly thereafter, the engine lost power, and the pilot initiated a forced landing to a field, during which the airplane sustained substantial damage. A postaccident examination of the airframe revealed that the fuel tanks were not breached and that they were empty; only residual quantities of fuel were observed in the engine ancillary components. The engine examination did not reveal any anomalies that would have precluded normal operation. Source: NTSB Aviation Accident Database Retrieved: 2026-02-12
NTSB Findings
Hierarchical cause / factor breakdown from the FAA bulk avdata database. Each finding tagged C (Cause) or F (Factor).
- C Personnel issues-Task performance-Planning/preparation-Fuel planning-Pilot - C
- C Aircraft-Fluids/misc hardware-Fluids-Fuel-Fluid level - C
- — Environmental issues-Physical environment-Terrain-Rough terrain-Contributed to outcome
- — Personnel issues-Experience/knowledge-Experience/qualifications-Total experience-Pilot
Verbatim from NTSB's published report. Source file
NTSB_2015_WPR15LA237.txt.
Findings + structured fields enriched from FAA avall.mdb.
Full investigation docket on
data.ntsb.gov ↗.
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Related research
What the literature says.
Academic papers and agency reports matching this event's aircraft type or causal vocabulary (fuel exhaustion, maintenance). Sourced from NASA NTRS, NTSB Safety Studies, FAA CAMI, AOPA Air Safety Institute, Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons, arXiv, and the Semantic Scholar academic graph.
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2026 · Journal article (IJAAA)
From Reactive to Predictive: A hybrid Trust-Mediated Adoption Framework for Data-Driven Maintenance in Distributed-Authority Aviation Environments
Modern aviation maintenance operates within increasingly data-intensive technological environments, yet the operational integration of predictive maintenance into routine decision-making remains incon…
- Semantic Scholar 2025 · Article (Applied Sciences)
Decision-Making Framework for Aviation Safety in Predictive Maintenance Strategies
The implementation of predictive maintenance (PM) in aviation presents unique challenges due to strict safety requirements, complex operational environments, and regulatory constraints.
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2024 · Journal article (JAAER)
Low-Resource Automatic Speech Recognition Domain Adaptation – A Case-Study in Aviation Maintenance
With timeliness and efficiency being critical in the aviation maintenance industry, the need has been growing for smart technological solutions that optimize and streamline the different underlying ta…
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2024 · Journal article (JAAER)
A New Trajectory in UAV Safety: Leveraging Reinforcement Learning for Distance Maintenance Under Wind Variations
In the field of aviation, safety is a critical cornerstone, and the operation of Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) systems is deeply connected with this principle.
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2024 · Journal article (IJAAA)
Just Culture in Aviation: A Metaphorical Study on Aircraft Maintenance Students
Just Culture, a sub-dimension of safety culture, has been a prominent and debated topic in aviation safety in recent years.
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2024 · Journal article (IJAAA)
Performance PRISM: A Comprehensive Framework For Performance Measurement In Aircraft Maintenance
Aircraft maintenance is governed by rigorous safety requirements and high operational complexity, demanding robust performance measurement frameworks to ensure optimal maintenance practices.
Browse the full corpus — academia portal ↗