NTSB CAROL · Event
Event ERA20LA289
Aircraft involved
Probable cause & findings
The pilot’s failure to use carburetor heat in conditions conducive to serious carburetor icing at glide power, which resulted in a loss of engine power and a forced ditching in water.
Factual narrative
On August 17, 2020, about 1715 eastern daylight time, a Cessna 150 airplane, N45083, was substantially damaged when it was involved in an accident near Surry, Maine. The private pilot and passenger were not injured. The airplane was operated as a Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 personal flight. The private pilot reported that the cross-country flight was uneventful until about 5 miles from the destination airport. During the descent into the traffic pattern, the engine sputtered and lost power about 1,500 ft above ground level (agl). He reported that he pumped the throttle and rocked the wings; however, the engine did not regain power. He added 30° of flaps and navigated toward a beach. About 500 ft agl, he saw that the beach was very rocky and elected to ditch in the shallow water in a bay. The airplane landed in the water and the pilot and passenger were able to egress and swim to shore. Review of radar data provided by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), revealed that most of the flight was captured on radar data. The flight track began about 5 nautical miles west of the departure airport at 1521 and proceeded on a mostly direct route of flight toward the destination airport. About 1715 the flight track turns toward the eventual accident site in the bay and the airplane slows and descends. The airplane was last identified at 1715:50, at 89 knots groundspeed, 975 ft mean sea level, about 1.5 nautical miles from the accident site. An FAA inspector reported that the airplane was buoyed by first responders after the accident; however, the airplane subsequently nosed over and became mostly submerged in the saltwater bay. Upon the airplane’s recovery to land, days after the accident, the inspector reported that it sustained substantial damage to the wings and fuselage. The engine displayed continuity when the propeller was rotated by hand. The ignition switch was found on BOTH. About 1 gallon of fuel was drained from the gascolator, the left fuel tank contained no fuel or salt water, and the right tank was about half full with diluted saltwater and an undetermined amount of fuel. The throttle and mixture control levers were found full forward and the fuel selector was found ON. The carburetor heat lever was found in the OFF position. During a postaccident interview, the pilot reported that he had about 3 hours of fuel onboard, and he believed the accident flight was about 2 hours and 10 minutes. He recalled that the master fuel ON/OFF lever was on. He could not recall whether the carburetor heat was applied during the descent to land. He added that applying carburetor heat during flight was something he was not normally accustomed to, given that most of his flight experience was with fuel-injected engines, which do not require carburetor heat. Review of an FAA carburetor icing probability chart for the given temperature and dew point near the accident site revealed that the conditions were conducive for serious icing at glide power. According to the FAA Pilot’s Handbook of Aeronautical Knowledge, carburetor ice occurs due to the effect of fuel vaporization and the decrease in air pressure in the venturi, which causes a sharp temperature drop in the carburetor. If water vapor in the air condenses when the carburetor temperature is at or below freezing, ice may form on internal surfaces of the carburetor, including the throttle valve. The reduced air pressure, as well as the vaporization of fuel, contributes to the temperature decrease in the carburetor. Ice generally forms in the vicinity of the throttle valve and in the venturi throat. This restricts the flow of the fuel-air mixture and reduces power. If enough ice builds up, the engine may cease to operate. Carburetor ice is most likely to occur when temperatures are below 70°F (21°C) and the relative humidity is above 80 percent. Due to the sudden cooling that takes place in the carburetor, icing can occur even in outside air temperatures as high as 100°F (38°C) and humidity as low as 50 percent. The pilot reported that, during the descent into the traffic pattern at the destination airport (after an uneventful cross-country flight en route), the engine sputtered and then lost power while the propeller continued to windmill. The pilot adjusted the throttle and rocked the wings to restart the engine but was unable to restore power. The pilot elected to ditch the airplane near the shoreline in a bay. He and his passenger egressed and swam to the beach, and the airplane partially sank and nosed over after their evacuation. The fuselage and wings sustained substantial damage. After the airplane was recovered to land, postaccident examination did not reveal any evidence of a preimpact mechanical malfunction. The quantity of fuel that remained on board could not be determined due a substantial amount of salt water that had entered one of the fuel tanks; the other tank contained no fuel or salt water. About 1 gallon of fuel was drained from the gascolator. The pilot believed he utilized about 2 hours and 10 minutes of the available 3 hours of fuel on board. The flight time the pilot reported was consistent with radar data. Review of a carburetor icing probability chart for the given temperature and dew point revealed that the conditions were conducive for serious icing at glide power. The pilot could not recall whether he applied carburetor heat during the descent to land. Postaccident examination of the lever found that it was in the OFF position. The pilot added that applying carburetor heat during flight was something he was not normally accustomed to, given that most of his flight experience was with fuel-injected engines, which do not require carburetor heat. It is likely that the carburetor heat was not utilized for the descent and approach to landing, which likely allowed carburetor ice to form, which resulted in the loss of engine power. Source: NTSB Aviation Accident Database Retrieved: 2026-02-12
NTSB Findings
Hierarchical cause / factor breakdown from the FAA bulk avdata database. Each finding tagged C (Cause) or F (Factor).
- — Personnel issues-Action/decision-Action-Lack of action-Pilot
- — Aircraft-Aircraft systems-Ice/rain protection system-Intake anti-ice, deice-Not used/operated
- — Environmental issues-Conditions/weather/phenomena-Temp/humidity/pressure-Conducive to carburetor icing-Effect on equipment
Verbatim from NTSB's published report. Source file
NTSB_2020_ERA20LA289.txt.
Findings + structured fields enriched from FAA avall.mdb.
Full investigation docket on
data.ntsb.gov ↗.
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Related research
What the literature says.
Academic papers and agency reports matching this event's aircraft type or causal vocabulary (icing). Sourced from NASA NTRS, NTSB Safety Studies, FAA CAMI, AOPA Air Safety Institute, Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons, arXiv, and the Semantic Scholar academic graph.
- Semantic Scholar 2021 · Article (Scientific Reports)
Cloud icing by mineral dust and impacts to aviation safety
Ice particles in high-altitude cold clouds can obstruct aircraft functioning. Over the last 20 years, there have been more than 150 recorded cases with engine power-loss and damage caused by tiny clou…
- NASA NTRS 2026 · Contractor Report (CR)
Icing Physics Studies Using the 3D SIDRM Test Article: 2023 Icing Tests Analysis
In-flight icing is an important safety issue and is a factor that affects aircraft design and performance. Newer regulations are driving a need for improvements in airframe and engine icing simulation…
- arXiv 2025 · arXiv preprint
Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning for UAV-Assisted 5G Network Slicing: A Comparative Study of MAPPO, MADDPG, and MADQN
The growing demand for robust, scalable wireless networks in the 5G-and-beyond era has led to the deployment of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) as mobile base stations to enhance coverage in dense urb…
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2025 · Journal article (JAAER)
A Mathematical Model on the Temporal Dynamics of Aviation Competitive Pricing
This study investigates the competitive dynamics of airport pricing using U.S. airport data to validate the findings. It employs linear and nonlinear ordinary differential equation models to analyze t…
- NASA NTRS 2025 · Presentation
NASA Icing Update – March 2025
This NASA Icing Update was prepared for presentation to the SAE International AC-9C Inflight Icing Technology Committee. This update includes the following topics: planned Rotational Icing Scaling tes…
- arXiv 2024 · arXiv preprint
An energy-stable phase-field model for droplet icing simulations
A phase-field model for three-phase flows is established by combining the Navier-Stokes (NS) and the energy equations, with the Allen-Cahn (AC) and Cahn-Hilliard (CH) equations and is demonstrated ana…
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