NTSB CAROL · Event
Event ERA23FA131
Aircraft involved
Probable cause & findings
The pilot’s continued visual flight rules flight into instrument meteorological conditions, resulting in controlled flight into terrain.
Factual narrative
HISTORY OF FLIGHTOn February 27, 2023, about 1656 eastern standard time, a Cessna 150G, N2991J, was substantially damaged when it was involved in an accident near Hillsville, Virginia. The pilot was fatally injured. The airplane was operated as a Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 personal flight. A friend of the pilot reported that the pilot flew from Twin County Airport (HLX), Hillsville, Virginia, to Burlington/Alamance Regional Airport (BUY), Burlington, North Carolina, to pick up parts for an engine the pilot was working on. A witness reported speaking to the owner of the maintenance shop, where the pilot was going to pick up the engine parts, who confirmed that the pilot arrived to pick up the parts and subsequently departed. According to a GPS device that was downloaded at the National Transportation Safety Board Vehicle Recorders Laboratory, the airplane departed BUY at 1612. The pilot flew a nearly direct northwestern route towards HLX. About 15 miles from the destination, at 1653, the airplane began flying over mountainous terrain. Then, the airplane entered a descending left turn for 1 1/2 revolutions (540°) until the flight track straightened and reversed course on a southeasterly heading (figure 1). Examination of the GPS altitude data revealed that the airplane descended from about 3,250 ft to 3,000 ft, about 200 ft agl, during the final minute of flight. The final GPS data point was about 650 ft from where the main wreckage was located. Figure 1. View of flight track for the final 4 minutes of flight. The blue track indicates the airplane flight track and the orange arrows indicate the direction of flight. An alert notice (ALNOT) was issued by the Federal Aviation Administration at 1914 after family and friends reported the airplane missing. The airplane was located by a private citizen about 1030 the following day. PERSONNEL INFORMATIONA review of the pilot’s flight log revealed that he only documented flight reviews in his logbook. His most recent flight review was completed on March 20, 2022. As of the most recent medical exam, on June 20, 2022, the pilot reported 10,000 flight hours, of which 150 hours were in the 6 months before the examination. METEOROLOGICAL INFORMATIONA review of preflight weather briefing information revealed that the pilot did not obtain preflight information from Leidos Flight Services or ForeFlight. Graphical-Airmen’s Meteorological Information (G-AIRMET) advisories were valid for the accident location below FL180 at both 1600 and 1900 for moderate icing between the surface and FL210, moderate turbulence from the surface to FL180, low-level wind shear, instrument flight rule conditions (IFR) and mountain obscuration. Graphical Forecasts for Aviation (GFA) forecast imagery depicted broken and overcast sky conditions in the immediate accident region with a point to the southwest of the accident site valid at 1600 identifying overcast clouds at 2,600 ft with tops to 11,000 ft. The GFA surface forecasts valid at 1600 and 1900 depicted southerly to southwesterly gusting surface winds of 15-25 knots near the accident location with rain showers across the region. A High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model sounding for near the accident site at 1700 using an elevation of 2,745 ft indicated clouds were identified between about 3,000 and 16,500 ft. At 1655, the HLX automated weather observation station reported a wind from 180° at 6 knots and variable between 160° and 220°, visibility 1 3/4 statute miles, mist, ceiling overcast at 200 ft agl, temperature of 9°C and dew point temperature of 9°C, altimeter setting of 29.57 inches of mercury. WRECKAGE AND IMPACT INFORMATIONThe airplane came to rest in a wooded area at an elevation of 2,776 ft above mean sea level. The airplane impacted a tree about 205 ft before the wreckage came to rest. There was no evidence of fire, and all major components of the airplane were located in the vicinity of the main wreckage. The left wing, outboard of the flap, was impact separated and located 60 ft before the main wreckage and exhibited a 1.5 ft semicircular impact area. The remainder of the left wing was attached to the fuselage and the leading edge was impact crushed aft. The fuselage remained intact and exhibited impact damage. The right wing was partially impact separated outboard of the flap and remained attached by an aileron control cable. The remainder of the right wing was attached to the fuselage. The empennage remained attached to the fuselage and all surfaces exhibited impact damage. Flight control continuity was confirmed from all flight controls to all respective control surfaces. The engine remained attached to the fuselage through the engine mounts. Crankshaft and valvetrain continuity were confirmed by rotating the propeller through 720° of rotation. Compression and suction were confirmed on all cylinders. The cylinders were examined with a lighted borescope and no anomalies were noted. The magnetos remained attached to the accessory case and produced spark on all leads. The carburetor remained attached to the engine; when removed and examined no anomalies were noted. Oil was present throughout the engine and the oil filter remained attached to the engine. There were no anomalies found with the engine that would have precluded normal operation. The fixed-pitch propeller remained attached to the crankshaft flange and the two blades remained attached to the hub. One blade exhibited chordwise scratching and was bent about 10°. The other blade exhibited chordwise scratching and s-bending. There were multiple pieces of tree branches found along the debris path that were cut at a 45° angle and had black/grey paint transfer marks, consistent with propeller strikes. The emergency locator transmitter remained secure in the fuselage and its switch was found in the OFF position. MEDICAL AND PATHOLOGICAL INFORMATIONAn autopsy of the pilot was performed by the Department of Health, Office of the Chief Medical Examiner, Roanoke, Virginia. The autopsy report was reviewed and stated the cause of death was blunt force injuries. The instrument-rated pilot was conducting a personal, cross-country, visual flight rules flight and did not receive a formal weather briefing before departing. Flight track data showed that, after departure, the airplane proceeded direct to the destination airport for about 40 minutes. Then, after entering mountainous terrain, the airplane completed a descending 540° left turn and reversed course while continuing to descend at a rate of 250 ft per minute. The airplane impacted trees and terrain and came to rest in a wooded area. The reported weather conditions in the area around the time of the accident included less than 2 miles visibility and clouds about 255 ft above ground level (agl). Examination of the airframe and engine revealed no evidence of any preaccident mechanical failures or malfunctions that would have precluded normal operation. Based on the cut branches located in the vicinity of the accident site, and the damage signatures observed on the propeller, the engine was likely producing power at the time of impact. While en route, the pilot likely encountered deteriorating weather conditions that obscured the mountainous terrain and as the pilot attempted to turn around and exit the deteriorating weather conditions the airplane gradually descended and struck trees and the terrain. Source: NTSB Aviation Accident Database Retrieved: 2026-02-12
NTSB Findings
Hierarchical cause / factor breakdown from the FAA bulk avdata database. Each finding tagged C (Cause) or F (Factor).
- — Personnel issues-Task performance-Planning/preparation-Weather planning-Pilot
- — Environmental issues-Conditions/weather/phenomena-Ceiling/visibility/precip-Below VFR minima-Decision related to condition
Verbatim from NTSB's published report. Source file
NTSB_2023_ERA23FA131.txt.
Findings + structured fields enriched from FAA avall.mdb.
Full investigation docket on
data.ntsb.gov ↗.
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Related research
What the literature says.
Academic papers and agency reports matching this event's aircraft type or causal vocabulary (icing, wind shear, controlled flight into terrain, turbulence). Sourced from NASA NTRS, NTSB Safety Studies, FAA CAMI, AOPA Air Safety Institute, Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons, arXiv, and the Semantic Scholar academic graph.
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Contractor Report (CR)
An Examination of Aviation Accidents Associated with Turbulence, Wind Shear and Thunderstorm
The focal point of the study reported here was the definition and examination of turbulence, wind shear and thunderstorm in relation to aviation accidents.
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2025 · Journal article (JAAER)
Political Turbulence and Aviation Safety: A Cross-National Analysis of Political Stability's Effects on Aviation Accidents
To what extent does political stability affect aviation safety? This research aims to link domestic political conditions and public safety through the consideration of aviation accident frequency.
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2023 · Faculty research project
Understanding the Coupled Interactions Between Hair-Like Micromechanoreceptors and Wall Turbulence
This research focuses on understanding the interactions between turbulent flows and long (high aspect ratio), flexible hair-like microstructures or micropillars inspired by those encountered in nature…
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2023 · Faculty research project
Reconfigurable Guidance and Control Systems for Emerging On-Orbit Servicing, Assembly, and Manufacturing (OSAM) Space Vehicles
Dynamic response to emergent situations is a necessity in the on-orbit servicing, assembly, and manufacturing (OSAM) field, because traditional on-orbit guidance and control (G&C) cannot respond effic…
- NTSB Safety Studies 2020 · Safety study
Risk Factors Associated With Weather-Related General Aviation Accidents (2003–2017)
Examines the leading causes of weather-related general aviation accidents over a 15-year period. Identifies continued-VFR-into-IMC, in-flight icing, and turbulence/wind shear as the dominant risk driv…
- NASA NTRS 2019 · Preprint (Draft being sent to journal)
Convectively Induced Turbulence Encountered During NASA's Fall-2000 Flight Experiments
Aircraft encounters with atmospheric turbulence are a leading cause of in-flight injuries aboard commercial airliners and cost the airlines millions of dollars each year.
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