NTSB CAROL · Event
Event ANC21LA043
Aircraft involved
Probable cause & findings
An encounter with mountain wave turbulence and windshear that exceeded the climb capability of the airplane and resulted in impact with terrain.
Factual narrative
On May 29, 2021, about 1312 Alaska daylight time (AKDT), a Cessna 182K, N2761Q, sustained substantial damage when it was involved in an accident about 77 miles east of Cordova, Alaska. The commercial pilot and passenger sustained minor injuries. The airplane was operated as a Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 personal flight. The pilot stated that, after completing a preflight inspection and reviewing weather conditions for the departure and proposed destination locations, which included winds aloft and METARs, they departed on the cross-country flight. About 2 hours and 15 minutes into the flight, while at an altitude of about 12,500 ft mean sea level (msl), the airplane encountered severe turbulence and windshear, and shortly thereafter, a downdraft. Unable to escape the downdraft, the pilot attempted to level the wings and pitched up as the airplane impacted terrain. The pilot reported no preaccident mechanical failures or malfunctions that would have precluded normal operations. The airplane impacted snow- and ice-covered terrain on the north side of Mount Hawkins in the Wrangell St Elias National Park at an elevation of about 6,570 ft msl. During the impact, the airplane sustained substantial damage to the fuselage, wings, left horizontal stabilizer and elevator. A review of flight track data revealed that, after departure, the flight proceeded to the south and climbed to an altitude of about 11,000 ft msl before initiating a left turn to the east. The flight continued on an easterly heading at an altitude between about 11,000 and 12,900 ft msl. The last in-flight data point was at 1311:19, when the airplane was at an altitude of 11,800 ft msl with a groundspeed of 108 kts and on a track of 117°. (see figures 1 and 2.) Figure 1 - Flight track. Figure 2 - Flight track, end of flight. No frontal boundaries existed near the accident site; however, a relatively strong pressure gradient was present along the northern Gulf of Alaska. The National Weather Service, Anchorage, Alaska, upper air soundings from 0400 and 1600 both indicated favorable conditions for severe mountain wave conditions between 9,000 and 14,000 ft mean sea level with updraft and downdraft speeds between 2,000 and 3,000 ft per minute. These conditions would be prevalent near any mountains with tops between 5,000 and 13,000 ft msl; the mountains to the south of the accident site were between this height. The Polar Operational Environmental Satellites imagery from 1337 also showed transverse wave banding at the accident site, which is indicative of mountain waves. FAA Advisory Circular (AC) 00-6B, Aviation Weather, describes mountain wave conditions and the associated aviation hazards therein: A mountain wave is an atmospheric wave disturbance formed when stable air flow passes over a mountain or mountain ridge. Mountain waves are a form of mechanical turbulence which develop above and downwind of mountains. The waves remain nearly stationary while the wind blows rapidly through them. The waves may extend 600 miles (1,000 kilometers) or more downwind from the mountain range. Mountain waves frequently produce severe to extreme turbulence. Location and intensity varies with wave characteristics. Figure 3 - AC 00-06B mountain wave conditions. Mountain waves often produce violent downdrafts on the immediate leeward side of the mountain barrier. Sometimes the downward speed exceeds the maximum climb rate of an aircraft and may drive the aircraft into the mountainside. The pilot reported that, before departure, he reviewed weather conditions and proposed destination locations, which included winds aloft and METARs. About 2 hours and 15 minutes into the flight, at an altitude of about 12,500 mean sea level (msl), the airplane encountered severe turbulence and windshear, and, shortly thereafter, a downdraft. Unable to escape the downdraft, the pilot attempted to level the wings and pitched up. The airplane impacted mountainous terrain, resulting in substantial damage to the fuselage, wings, left horizontal stabilizer, and elevator. The pilot reported no preaccident mechanical failures or malfunctions that would have precluded normal operation. Review of weather information revealed a relatively strong pressure gradient in the area. Upper air soundings indicated favorable conditions for severe mountain wave conditions with updraft and downdraft speeds between 2,000 and 3,000 ft per minute. Based on the available information, it is likely that the flight encountered mountain wave conditions, including severe turbulence, windshear, and downdrafts greater than 2,000 ft per minute, which exceeded the climb capability of the airplane and resulted in descent into terrain. Source: NTSB Aviation Accident Database Retrieved: 2026-02-12
NTSB Findings
Hierarchical cause / factor breakdown from the FAA bulk avdata database. Each finding tagged C (Cause) or F (Factor).
- — Environmental issues-Conditions/weather/phenomena-Turbulence-Terrain induced turbulence-Effect on equipment
Verbatim from NTSB's published report. Source file
NTSB_2021_ANC21LA043.txt.
Findings + structured fields enriched from FAA avall.mdb.
Full investigation docket on
data.ntsb.gov ↗.
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Related research
What the literature says.
Academic papers and agency reports matching this event's aircraft type or causal vocabulary (turbulence). Sourced from NASA NTRS, NTSB Safety Studies, FAA CAMI, AOPA Air Safety Institute, Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons, arXiv, and the Semantic Scholar academic graph.
- arXiv 2026 · arXiv preprint
Direct Numerical Simulations of Ice-Ocean Boundary Turbulence
Turbulent heat and freshwater transport at ice-ocean interfaces controls glacier and iceberg melt rates, yet the underlying physics remains poorly constrained.
- Embry-Riddle Scholarly Commons 2025 · Journal article (JAAER)
Political Turbulence and Aviation Safety: A Cross-National Analysis of Political Stability's Effects on Aviation Accidents
To what extent does political stability affect aviation safety? This research aims to link domestic political conditions and public safety through the consideration of aviation accident frequency.
- arXiv 2025 · arXiv preprint
Explainable LiDAR 3D Point Cloud Segmentation and Clustering for Detecting Airplane-Generated Wind Turbulence
Wake vortices - strong, coherent air turbulences created by aircraft - pose a significant risk to aviation safety and therefore require accurate and reliable detection methods.
- arXiv 2024 · arXiv preprint
Does small-scale turbulence matter for ice growth in mixed-phase clouds?
Representing the glaciation of mixed-phase clouds in terms of the Wegener-Bergeron-Findeisen process is a challenge for many weather and climate models, which tend to overestimate this process because…
- arXiv 2023 · arXiv preprint
Effects of electrostatic interaction on clustering and collision of bidispersed inertial particles in homogeneous and isotropic turbulence
In sandstorms and thunderclouds, turbulence-induced collisions between solid particles and ice crystals lead to inevitable triboelectrification.
- SKYbrary (Eurocontrol) 2023 · SKYbrary article
Wake Vortex Turbulence — SKYbrary Knowledge Base
SKYbrary wake vortex turbulence comprehensive article — generation mechanics, dissipation factors, separation standards (ICAO LIGHT/MEDIUM/HEAVY/SUPER + recategorisation RECAT-EU).
Browse the full corpus — academia portal ↗